Monday, March 2, 2009

Technical view on Midas, Golden Agri-Resources, and UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB SP; S$10.52)

• UOB announced over lunch that 4Q profit fell a bigger-than-expected 34% on higher provisions for bad debt and a decline in fee income. 4Q profit was reported to be below a Reuters poll of six analysts.

• UOB cut its final dividend per share to S$0.40 from S$0.45 a year ago. Full year net profit was 4.7% below Bloomberg consensus.

• On valuations, UOB currently trades at consensus CY09 P/BV of 0.92x versus 0.75x for DBS. Given that DBS has shored up its capital base with a rights issue, some traders could be tempted to do a short UOB/Long DBS trade.

Golden Agri-Resources Limited (GGR SP; S$0.29)

• Good news for Golden Agri-Resources shareholders. The Company is proposing a bonus issue of up to 399.0m shares on the basis of 1 bonus share credited as fully paid for every 25 existing shares held in the capital of the Company. Fractional entitlements will be disregarded.

• The proposed bonus issue is intended as a reward to shareholders of the Company for continuing to support the Company.

Midas Holdings (MIDAS SP; S$0.43)

• A few S-Chips released their full year results yesterday. Our technical analyst looked at the charts of these companies and felt that there could be trading opportunity in Midas.

• Share price fell below its descending consolidation triangle two days ago. We had earlier warned that if this breakdown were to happen, there is a good chance that the stock could fall back to test S$0.40 next. We continue to remain bearish on the stock.

• However, its RSI has just moved into the oversold region where a minor rebound could take place.

• Any rebounds should be seen as opportunity to get out. Resistance is seen at S$0.475

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