Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Bukit Sembawang Estates - Downgrade on valuations


BukitSem, Outside bollinger band...sell. BS's share price has gained over 40% since our upgrade of the stock to Outperform in June. While inherent value remains considerable from its low-cost land bank, a lack of corporate access and relatively low trading volume are concerns. As uncertainties in the sector heighten on the back of cooling measures introduced by the government, we fear that BS will retreat into its shell as the launch window for the year starts to close. We recommend taking some money off the table until further evidence of improvements in the sector. We raise our FY10-12 core EPS estimates by 1.1% on minor adjustments to our launch schedules. We maintain our target price of S$5.02, still based on a 25% discount to our end-CY10 RNAV estimate to account for the shares' low trading liquidity and lack of corporate access. Downgrade from Outperform to Neutral on valuations.

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